Aw fɔ fɛn bayas na rulɛt wil
Rayt dɔŋ, kɔnt, tɛst, dɔn rayt dɔŋ mɔ: na so yu de fɛn bayas pan rulɛt wil.
Gɛda lɛk wan tawzin spin frɔm wan wil, kɔnt ɔmɔs tɛm ɛni pɔkit kam, rɔn chi-skwɛ tɛst (χ²)labChi-skwɛ tɛstStatistikal tɛst we de kɔmpia ɔmɔs tɛm ɛni pɔkit rili kam wit di n/37 we yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt. Dɛn de yuz am fɔ jɔj if wil gɛt bayas.Rid ɔl →, ɛn if ɛni wan rizɔlt sho signifikans, tek am as rizin fɔ gɛda sɛkɔn sampul we nɔ dipen pan di fɔs wan.
1. Rayt dɔŋ
Bɔku tɛm, layv tebul dɛn de pɔblish ɔ sho wetin dɔn apin pan di spin dɛn, ɛn yu kin kɔpi am. Rayt dɔŋ wish wil na: tebul dɛn de chenj wil edikwipmɛntWil edƆda nem fɔ rotɔ: di pat we de tɔn ɛn we kɛr di nɔmba dɛn.Rid ɔl → dɛn frɔm wan bolikwipmɛntBolDi pat na di wil we nɔ de muv, na do: di ɛj we dɛn mek wit wud ɔ ɔda tin we ol di bɔl rod ɛn di slop, ɛn di rotɔ de tɔn insay am.Rid ɔl → to di ɔda, ɛn bayas na fɔ di wil, nɔto fɔ di tebul ɔ di dila. Rayt di de ɛn di tɛm; wil we gɛt bayas tide, dɛn kin chenj in pɔkit wɔl dɛn tumara. Wan tawzin spin na di smɔl pas ɔl fɔ mek di tɛst se ɛnitin; tɛn tawzin na usay i de bigin fɔ gɛt yus.
2. Kɔnt ɛn tɛst
Kɔnt ɔmɔs tɛm ɛni pɔkitikwipmɛntPɔkitWan pan di 37 smɔl ples dɛn wit nɔmba pan di rotɔ. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: slot, kɔp.Rid ɔl → kam. Wetin yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt na n/37 fɔ ɛni wan. Kalkul di chi-skwɛ statistik, Σ (wetin yu si − wetin yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt)² / wetin yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt, fɔ ɔl di 37 pɔkit, ɛn kɔmpia am wit di chi-skwɛ distribyushɔn pan 36 digri fɔ fridɔmlabDigri fɔ fridɔmDi nɔmba fɔ valyu dɛn we nɔ dipen pan wan ɔda insay wan statistik. Fɔ chi-skwɛ tɛst pan 37 pɔkit na 36, bikɔs ɔl di kawnt dɛn fɔ ad ɔp to di tɔtal.Rid ɔl →. Di Wil Bayas Analayza na dis sayt de du am na di brawza. Luk bak di sɛktawilSɛktaPɔkit dɛn we de fala wan ɔda na wan pat fɔ di wil, nɔto grup na di bɛt tebul.Rid ɔl → dɛn: if di wil gɛt difɛkt, bɔku tɛm i de afɛkt pɔkit dɛn we de nia dɛnsɛf, ɛn sɛkta tɛst nɔ gɛt bɔku chans fɔ gi lay-lay pɔzitiv lɛk 37 tɛst fɔ ɛni wan pɔkit.
3. Du am bak
Sheb di data to tu af, ɔ gɛda nyu sampul we big di sem we frɔm di sem wil. Bayas we rial go sho insay di tu sampul; lɔk nɔmɔ nɔ go sho. Frɔm fɛr wil, yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt chi-skwɛ we signifikant na 5% wan tɛm pan twɛnti insay wan sampul, ɛn pleya we de luk bɔku wil go fɛn dɛn kayn sampul ya ɔltɛm. Na afta yu dɔn du am bak nɔmɔ i fit fɔ kalkul if di ɔt pɔkit dɛn de pe inof fɔ bit 2.70%.
4. Mɛzhɔ aw i big
Signifikans de se di wil maybi nɔ fɛr. Fɔ mek prɔfit, wan pɔkit fɔ kam 1/36 ɔ bɛtɛ, bikɔs bɛt pan wan nɔmbabɛtBɛt pan wan nɔmbaWan nɔmba nɔmɔ, i de pe 35:1.Rid ɔl → de pe 35 to 1. Pɔkit we yu si 40 tɛm insay 1,000 na 1/25; if i rial, dat go gi big prɔfit, bɔt i go bi bak 2.5-sigma tin if di wil fɛr. Sɛkɔn sampul fɔ 1,000 go sho am bak lɛk 40 ± 6 if di bayas rial, ɛn lɛk 27 ± 5 if na bin nɔys.
Wetin kam afta: fɔ fɛn bayas pan rulɛt wil na kasino dɛn tide
Lɔng tɛm: bɛt pan di ɔt sɛkta, win te di kasino notis, dɔn dɛn blɔk yu ɔ yu si di wil lɔs. Di García-Pelayo famili bin du dis nia Madrid na di bigin fɔ di 1990 dɛn, ɛn we di kasino blɔk dɛn, di kɔt dɛn na Spen tɔn di blɔk bak. Naw kasino dɛn de chenj rotɔikwipmɛntRotɔDi pat fɔ di wil we de tɔn ɛn we kɛr di pɔkit dɛn.Rid ɔl → dɛn frɔm wan bol to di ɔda ɛn dɛn de mɛzhɔ di pɔkit dɛn pan skejul; bayas we big inof fɔ si insay wan tawzin spin nɔ go pas wan mentenans. Di we fɔ du am rayt, bɔt fɔ fɛn bayas pan rulɛt wil na kasino dɛn tide de kam tu let: fɔ tru, di chans dɔn go.
Rulɛt pleya dɛn we gɛt nemGonzalo García-Pelayo: di rulɛt sistɛm
Di pɔkit we kam pas ɔl de ɔltɛm
Fɔ pik di pɔkit we kam pas ɔl ɛn tɛst am in wan na trap, bikɔs fɛr wil ɔltɛm gɛt wan pɔkit we kam pas ɔl. Afta 3,700 spin, yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt 100 tɛm fɔ ɛni pɔkit, bɔt di wan we kam pas ɔl kin sho lɛk 122, ɛn wan sampul pan twɛnti i de sho 131 ɔ mɔ. Di wan we kam smɔl pas ɔl kin sho lɛk 79. So pɔkit we kam 125 tɛm insay 3,700 spin nɔto ɛnitin: kɔmpia am wit wetin di pɔkit we kam pas ɔl pan fɛr wil de du, nɔto wit 100.
Mistek dɛn we pipul kin mek
Fɔ miks spin frɔm difrɛn wil ɔ difrɛn wil ed. Fɔ tɛst afta yu dɔn si di data ɛn pik di grup we luk wɔs pas ɔl. Fɔ tek ɔt nɔmbalay-lay tɔkƆt nɔmbaNɔmba we dɔn kam mɔ pas aw yu ɛkspɛkt nɔ te. Pan fɛr wil, i nɔ de tɛl yu natin bɔt wetin de kam.Rid ɔl → insay 200 spin as sayn. Fɔ fɔgɛt se di tɛst tek am se di spin dɛn nɔ dipen pan wan ɔda, so if ɛni dila gɛt in yon sayn, dat go mek di chi-skwɛ big bak, ilɛk se nɔ pɔkit nɔ gɛt advantej pan di wil.
Kwɛstyɔn dɛn
1,000 fɔ jɔs rɔn di tɛst; sɔm tawzin fɔ fɛn bayas we fit fɔ gɛt; tɛn tɛn tawzin fɔ kɔnfɔm am.
Nɔmɔ if i se wish wil na ɛn i sho inof spin. Bɔku bɔd de sho 20 to 500, ɛn dat nɔ du.
Se di wil maybi nɔ de gi rizɔlt dɛn we ikwal. Nɔto se ɛni pɔkit de pe inof, ɛn nɔto se di shep go kɔntinyu.
Ple wit Mat
Tray dɛn yusɛf fɔs. Ɛni ansa de ayd; opin am we yu rɛdi.
Pan wil we dɔn ol, tri rɛdbɛtRɛdIvin-mɔni bɛt pan di 18 rɛd nɔmba. Na Frɛnch: rouge.Rid ɔl → pɔkitikwipmɛntPɔkitWan pan di 37 smɔl ples dɛn wit nɔmba pan di rotɔ. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: slot, kɔp.Rid ɔl → nɔ dip lɛk bifo, ɛn bɔlikwipmɛntBɔlDi smɔl bɔl we dɛn trowe na di rod agens di rotɔ. Di nyu bɔl dɛn na ivorine ɔ Teflon, 18–21 mm.Rid ɔl → we fɔ dɔn stɔp insay dɛn de rol go insay di blakbɛtBlakIvin-mɔni bɛt pan di 18 blak nɔmba. Na Frɛnch: noir.Rid ɔl → pɔkit dɛn we de nia dɛn, so rɛd de kam 15 tɛm insay 37 ɛn blak 21. Naw, ɔmɔs bɛt pan rɛd ɛn pan blak de kɔst ɔ de gɛt?
Sho di ansa
Ansa Rɛd de kɔst 18.9%; blak de gɛt 13.5%.
Rɛd de win 15 tɛm insay 37 ɛn i de lɔs 22: (15 − 22)/37 = −18.9%. Blak de win 21 tɛm ɛn i de lɔs 16: (21 − 16)/37 = +13.5%.
Bayas de kɔt tu say. Di wil we de gi advantej to di pleya we dɔn mɛzhɔ am de chaj sɛvin tɛm di nɔmal prays to di pleya we bak di rɔŋ kɔla. Hunacek (2025) yuz ɛgzampul we tan lɛk dis.
Tri pɔkit insay 37 na bad bad fɔlt. Rial bayas bɔku tɛm na smɔl pat pan dis, ɛn i de tek tawzin tawzin spin fɔ si di difrɛns bitwin am ɛn lɔk, lɛk aw dis pej de sho.
Smɔl jok fɔ ɛz di maynd
Rayt dɔŋ, kɔnt, tɛst, du am bak. Fɔ du am bak na di pat we at.
Usay wi gɛt am frɔm
- Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…”
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Wizard of Odds. “Hot Numbers in Roulette: Myths and Facts.”