Paroli rulɛt stratɛji (Martingale we tɔn bak)
Di Paroli rulɛt stratɛji de dɔbul di bɛt afta win, ɛn i de bigin bak afta lɔs ɔ afta tri win wan afta di ɔda.
I nɔ de bit di wil; i jɔs de chenj aw di lɔs dɛn de kam. Paroli de risk wan bes bɛt pan yu yon mɔni fɔ ɛni saykul, ɛn i de pus di win mɔni fɔ di rɛst. Di lɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛktmatematiksLɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛktValyu we fɔ ɛkspɛkt tɛm ɔl di mɔni we yu bɛt; di avrej mɔni we yu de lɔs insay wan sɛshɔn ɔ wan tɛm.Rid ɔl → nɔ chenj.
Waka di sistɛm
Win de muf wan stɛp go bifo. Lɔs, ɔ di tɔd win, de go bak to di bigin.
Bɛt mɔni ɛn rizɔlt de na yunit fɔ di fɔs bɛt.
Aw di Paroli rulɛt sistɛm de wok?
Bɛt wan yunitmɔniYunitDi bes bɛt mɔni we sistɛm ɔ pleya de wok wit. Dɛn de ɛksplen prɔgrɛshɔn wit yunit so dat i go wok na ɛni tebul.Rid ɔl →. If yu win, lɛf ɔl pan di tebul: di nɛks bɛt na tu. If yu win bak, na fɔ. If yu win di tɔd tɛm, tek sɛvin yunit prɔfit ɛn go bak to wan. If yu lɔs ɛnitɛm, yu go bak to wan bak. Na dat na di ɔl sistɛm. Afta di fɔs win, na win mɔni yu de bɛt, so di mɔs we yu yon gambul mɔnimɔniGambul mɔniƆl di mɔni we yu dɔn put asay fɔ ple. Fɔ manej yu gambul mɔni min fɔ disayd ɔmɔs pan am yu go risk fɔ ɛni bɛt ɛn fɔ ɛni sɛshɔn.Rid ɔl → kin lɔs pan ɛni saykul na wan yunit. Tri ivin-mɔni win wan afta di ɔda de apin wit prɔbabilitimatematiksPrɔbabilitiDi chans fɔ wan rizɔlt, frɔm 0 to 1 ɔ frɔm 0% to 100%. Wan nɔmba: 1/37 = 2.70%.Rid ɔl → (18/37)³ = 11.5%, lɛk wan saykul pan nayn.
Aw sɛshɔn de luk?
Mɔni de lik smɔl smɔl, ɛn wan wan tɛm i jɔmp ɔp. Tink lɛk se yu de bay di sem smɔl tikit agen ɛn agen: ɛni wan kɔst wan yunit, bɔku pan dɛn nɔ gi natin, ɛn lɛk wan pan nayn de pe sɛvin. Di prɔbabiliti fɔ dɔn 100-spin sɛshɔn wit prɔfit lɔ (lɛk 30%), bikɔs bɔku sɛshɔn nɔ gɛt inof saykul we dɔn fɔ kɔba di wan-yunit lɔs dɛn we de kam ɔltɛm; if sɛshɔn dɔn wit prɔfit, i kin dɔn wit big prɔfit.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- midul valyu −$300
- p75 +$30
- p90 +$320
Di Paroli sistɛm de wok?
Nɔ. I de chenj di shep fɔ di lɔs dɛn, nɔto aw dɛn big. Mek p = 18/37. Yu win 7 wit prɔbabiliti p³ = 0.115; yu lɔs 1 wit prɔbabiliti 1 − p³ = 0.885. Rizɔlt we fɔ ɛkspɛkt fɔ ɛni saykul: 7(0.115) − 1(0.885) = 0.805 − 0.885 = −0.08 yunit. Yunit we fɔ ɛkspɛkt se yu go bɛt fɔ ɛni saykul: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0.973 + 0.947 = 2.92. Divayd: −0.08 / 2.92 = −2.7%. Ɛni sistɛm de gi dis nɔmba we yu du di divayd.
Di tin we kin tɛmt pɔsin na fɔ tink se di chipmɔniChipTokɛn we min wan sɛt mɔni; yu put am na di bɛt tebul fɔ mek bɛt. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: check.Rid ɔl → dɛn we yu pus na di kasino in mɔni, so fɔ bɛt dɛn nɔ kɔst natin. Na yu yon frɔm di tɛm we dɛn pe am, ɛn ɛni wan we yu put bak pan di tebul gɛt di sem 2.70%.
Ɛn if yu wet fɔ fɔ win wan afta di ɔda?
ParolistratɛjiParoliPɔzitiv prɔgrɛshɔn: dɔbul afta yu win, bigin bak afta yu lɔs ɔ afta tri win wan afta di ɔda. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: Martingale we tɔn bak.Rid ɔl → te fɔ win de tɔn wan yunit to 16, prɔfit fɔ 15, wit prɔbabiliti (18/37)⁴ = 5.6%. Taylor (2021) de aks wan kwɛstyɔn we shap pas: if yu gɛt gambul mɔni fɔ smɔl yunit, wetin na di chans fɔ gɛt wan strik lɛk dat bifo di mɔni dɔn? Ɛni saykul we fel kɔst ɛksakli wan yunit, so wit 15 yunit di ansa na 1 − (1 − 0.056)¹⁵ = 58%, i bɛtɛ pas di 48.6% if yu put ɔl 15 pan rɛdbɛtRɛdIvin-mɔni bɛt pan di 18 rɛd nɔmba. Na Frɛnch: rouge.Rid ɔl → wan tɛm. Di trik de sho na di ɔda nɔmba dɛn. Di strik kin kam afta bɔku saykul dɔn fel, so di gɛn we i briŋ na 9 yunit pan avrej, nɔto 15, ɛn bikɔs di prɔgrɛshɔnstratɛjiPrɔgrɛshɔnƐni rul we de chenj di bɛt mɔni bay di rizɔlt dɛn we dɔn pas. Nɛgativ prɔgrɛshɔn de es am afta lɔs, pɔzitiv wan afta win.Rid ɔl → de bɛt mɔ mɔni ɔltogɛda, in avrej rizɔlt wɔs pas di wan bɛt in yon.
I mata usay yu stɔp?
Na di shep nɔmɔ i de chenj. Paroli te tu win (tek 3) ɔ fɔ win (tek 15) de chenj ɔmɔs tɛm yu de rich ɛn di prayz, nɔto di advantej. “Parlay” pan bɛt pan wan nɔmba (lɛf 35 to 1 win pan di tebul) na di sem aydia wit p = 1/37 ɛn pemɔniPeWetin bɛt we win de gi yu, dɛn de tɔk am as “X to 1” ɔn tɔp di bɛt mɔni we kam bak.Rid ɔl → fɔ 1,295 to 1 pan tu ɛt wan afta di ɔda, ɛn na dat mek i na stori pas tin we pipul de du.
Udat de pik am, ɛn wetin mek?
Pleya dɛn we want smɔl lɔs we gɛt klia limit fɔ ɛni saykul, ɛn we gladi fɔ lɔs smɔl smɔl fɔ di chans fɔ big win. I na di saykɔlɔji lukin glas fɔ MartingalestratɛjiMartingalePrɔgrɛshɔn we de dɔbul di bɛt afta ɛni lɔs. Luk di Stratɛji pat fɔ si wetin i de du ɛn wetin i nɔ de du.Rid ɔl →: Martingale de mek yu fil lɛk pɔsin we de win te di nɛt we yu nɔ win; Paroli de mek yu fil lɛk pɔsin we de lɔs te di nɛt we yu nɔ lɔs. Di kasino de tek 2.70% pan ɔl di mɔni we yu bɛtmɔniƆl di bɛt mɔniƆl di mɔni we yu bɛt na wan sɛshɔn ɔ wan tɛm, wit di win mɔni we yu bɛt bak. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: handle, action.Rid ɔl → ɔl tu we.
Simulɛta · Paroli
2,000 sɛshɔn wit ivin-mɔni bɛt, we bigin wit $1,000 gambul mɔni.
Fɔs bɛt $10 · tebul limit $500 · 100 spin fɔ ɛni sɛshɔn
Kwɛstyɔn dɛn
I sef pas am bikɔs i nɔ kin gi wan big dizasta lɔs wan tɛm. I nɔ chip pas am: di lɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛkt fɔ ɛni yunit we yu bɛt na di sem.
Ɛni ples fɔ stɔp de wok di sem na mat. Pipul kin yuz tri bikɔs di prayz (7 yunit) fil lɛk se i fit di wet, ɛn ɔmɔs tɛm yu de rich (11.5%) nɔ bad tumɔs.
Smɔl jok fɔ ɛz di maynd
Fɔ pus win mɔni stil na bɛt.
Usay wi gɛt am frɔm
- RouletteDoc. Ɔlsay luk pan rulɛt stratɛji dɛn.
- Roulette77. Aw di stratɛji de ɛn ɛgzampul dɛn.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.
- Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, 2nd ed.