Ditɛktiv fɔ wil bayas
Wan rɛkɔd fɔ 3,000 spin frɔm wil we kin gɛt bayas ɔ nɔ gɛt. Yuz di Lab tul dɛn fɔ fɛn di ɔt sɛkta, ɔ se di wil fɛr.
Fayv wil, fayv jɔjmɛnt. Ɔt map, ba chat wit di ±2σ band ɛn chi-skwɛ tɛstlabChi-skwɛ tɛstStatistikal tɛst we de kɔmpia ɔmɔs tɛm ɛni pɔkit rili kam wit di n/37 we yu fɔ ɛkspɛkt. Dɛn de yuz am fɔ jɔj if wil gɛt bayas.Rid ɔl → de pan di tebul; yu kin yuz sɛkta skan as ɛp, bɔt i go kɔst yu wan pɔynt. Wan pan di wil dɛn fɛr.
Wil 1 pan 5 · 3,000 spin
Di mak dɛn
9–10: Jagger fɔ dɔn want yu fɔ wach di wil.
6–8: yu kin rid ɔt map ɛn yu nɔ de bilif fɔls alam.
3–5: yu fɛn di tranga wan dɛn; di bayas we smɔl ɛn di fɛr wil na di rial tɛst.
Ɔnda 3: rid Aw fɔ Fɛn Bayas na Rulɛt Wil ɛn Ɔmɔs Tɛm Yu Tɛst. Tri tawzin spin jɔs ridi fɔ tranga bayas, ɛn i nɔ rich fɔ bayas we smɔl.
Wetin mek i at
Pan fɛr wil wit 3,000 spin, di kɔnt we fɔ ɛkspɛkt pan ɛni pɔkitikwipmɛntPɔkitWan pan di 37 smɔl ples dɛn wit nɔmba pan di rotɔ. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: slot, kɔp.Rid ɔl → na 81 ɛn di standad diviyeshɔnmatematiksStandad diviyeshɔnDi skwɛ rut fɔ varians; di nɔmal distans bitwin wan rizɔlt ɛn di valyu we fɔ ɛkspɛkt.Rid ɔl → na lɛk 9, so sɔm pɔkit go de na do di ±2σ band jɔs bay chans. Pɔkit we gɛt bayas +40% go de lɛk 113, lɛk 3.5σ; wit +20% i go de lɛk 97, ɔnda 2σ, ɛn yu nɔ go si am na wan pɔkit. Sɛkta dɛnwilSɛktaPɔkit dɛn we de fala wan ɔda na wan pat fɔ di wil, nɔto grup na di bɛt tebul.Rid ɔl → de ad ɔp: di skan fɔ 5 pɔkit na aw rial bayas pleya dɛn bin de fɛn wil, bikɔs pɔkit dɛn we de nia wan ɔda de sheb di sem mashin prɔblɛm.
Kwɛstyɔn dɛn
Bikɔs di skil we at pas ɔl na bayas ple nɔto fɔ fɛn ɔt sɛkta; na fɔ nɔ fɛn wan we nɔ de de.
Tawzin dɛn fɔ tranga bayas; tɛn tɛn tawzin fɔ bayas we smɔl. Jagger in famili bin wach di wil dɛn fɔ wik dɛn.
Smɔl jok fɔ ɛz di maynd
Fɛn di sɛkta. Ɔ gri se i nɔ de.
Usay wi gɛt am frɔm
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…”