Rulɛt lab · Lab · Metɔd · 7 minit

Fɔ rid spin istri we dɛn dɔn pablish

Bɔku layv kɔmpin de pablish ɔl di spin istri. Na so yu fɔ rid dɛn, klin dɛn, ɛn wetin dɛn kin tɛl yu ɛn wetin dɛn nɔ kin tɛl yu.

Shɔt ansa

Spin istri na lis fɔ rizɔlt wit di tɛm we dɛn kam, bɔku tɛm fɔ ɛni tebul. Na di rɔ tin fɔ bayas analisis if, ɛn na if nɔmɔ, i de sho wan wil edikwipmɛntWil edƆda nem fɔ rotɔ: di pat we de tɔn ɛn we kɛr di nɔmba dɛn.Rid ɔl → fɔ wan tɛm we dɛn nɔ fiks am. Bɔku nɔ de sho dat, ɛn bɔku shɔt tumɔs.

aw lɔng di wan dɛn we dɛn pablish kin bi
500–10,000 spin
wetin yu nid fɔ tɛst we yusful
10,000+ frɔm wan ed
di impɔtant tin we nɔ de
wish wil ed
di bɛst we fɔ yuz am
fɔ lan aw nɔys de luk

Wetin istri gɛt insay

Di tɛm, di tebul nem, di rizɔlt (0–36), sɔntɛm di dila nem ɛn di raund ID. Na lɔg fɔ wetin di gem sava rayt, so i kɔrɛkt. Wetin i nɔ kin gɛt na wish rotɔikwipmɛntRotɔDi pat fɔ di wil we de tɔn ɛn we kɛr di pɔkit dɛn.Rid ɔl → ed bin de pan da tebul da tɛm de, ɛn na dat bayas analisis nid, bikɔs dɛn de chenj ed dɛn frɔm wan bolikwipmɛntBolDi pat na di wil we nɔ de muv, na do: di ɛj we dɛn mek wit wud ɔ ɔda tin we ol di bɔl rod ɛn di slop, ɛn di rotɔ de tɔn insay am.Rid ɔl → to ɔda wan.

Fɔ klin di data

Chɛk fɔ ol (fiks wok, tɛm we dɛn klos), fɔ raund ID we de tu tɛm, fɔ rizɔlt we de do 0–36 (00 pan Amɛrikan tebul, tɛst spin), ɛn fɔ chenj pan aw dɛn de chenj dila, we kin sho se dɛn chenj ed. Sheb di data to pat dɛn na ɛni ol we lɔng pas sɔm awa; tek ɛni pat lɛk se i kin bi difrɛn wil. If di tebul nem na di wan tin nɔmɔ we de sho am, biliv se dɛn chenj di ed at list wan tɛm ɛni mɔnt.

chɛkwetin mekwetin fɔ du
ol > sɔm awafiks wok ɔ ed chenj, pɔsibulsheb am to pat dɛn
dila chenjnɔmal; sɔntɛm i bak kin apin di sem tɛm we dɛn chenj edrayt am, nɔ sheb am
rizɔlt we de do 0–36rɔng kayn tebul ɔ tɛst datapul am
raund we de tu tɛmmistek frɔm di ɛkspɔtpul di wan we de tu tɛm
pat dɛn we na 48.65 / 48.65 / 2.70 egzaktpafɛkt so te yu fɔ sɔspɛktchɛk if na data we dɛn mek
spin we smɔl tumɔs fɔ ɛni pat< 1,000tɛst nɔ go rɔn; jɔyn dɛn nɔmɔ if yu shɔ se na di sem ed

Fɔ rɔn di tɛst dɛn

Fɔ ɛni pat: chi-skwɛ ova 37 pɔkitikwipmɛntPɔkitWan pan di 37 smɔl ples dɛn wit nɔmba pan di rotɔ. Dɛn kin kɔl am bak: slot, kɔp.Rid ɔl → (df 36), sɛktawilSɛktaPɔkit dɛn we de fala wan ɔda na wan pat fɔ di wil, nɔto grup na di bɛt tebul.Rid ɔl → z-skɔ na di ɔda pan di wil, ɛn binomial tɛst fɔ ɛni pɔkit we yu bin sɔspɛkt bifo yu luk. Dɔn shek di rizɔlt dɛn insay di pat ɛn rɔn am bak: di statistiks we yu shek na aw fɛr wil de luk wit dis sem sampul sayz, ɛn if yu rial statistiks nɔ de klia do di renj we yu shek, yu nɔ fɛn natin. Di Wil Bayas Analayza de du dis insay di brawza.

Wetin pat we gɛt 2,000 spin kin si (80% pawa)ɔmɔs tɛm di pɔkit de kam
1/37 (fɛr)
natin
1/30
≈ 50% pan di tɛm
1/25
yɛs
1/20
i klia
1/35 (di kayn we de pe)
nɔ
ɔmɔs tɛm di pɔkit de kam
01.50i klia
Di ba dɛn de sho if yu kin si am insay pat we gɛt 2,000 spin. Pɔkit we de kam 1/35 nid lɛk 70,000 spin. Di bayas dɛn we de gi prɔfit smɔl pas wetin ɛni istri we dɛn pablish kin sho.

Chi-skwɛ tɛstRulɛt wil

Wetin yu go fɛn

Nɔys. Ɔt nɔmba dɛnlay-lay tɔkƆt nɔmbaNɔmba we dɔn kam mɔ pas aw yu ɛkspɛkt nɔ te. Pan fɛr wil, i nɔ de tɛl yu natin bɔt wetin de kam.Rid ɔl → we kam 13–15 tɛm pan 300 spin, sɛkta dɛn na ±1.5 sigma, chi-skwɛ we de lɛk 36 ± 8. Sɔntɛm wan pat na p < 0.05, ɛn dat na wetin wan pat pan twɛnti de du. Tek am lɛk rizin fɔ luk di nɛks pat frɔm di sem tebul, ɛn ɛkspɛkt se i go lɔs. Afta lɛk dɔzin istri, yu go dɔn lan aw ɛni-kayn-we de luk wit sampul we gɛt sɔm tawzin spin, ɛn dat na di tin we yusful pas ɔl we di Lab kin tich.

Wetin di istri dɛn gud fɔ

Fɔ chɛk wetin di dila anawns agens di lɔg. Fɔ mɛzhɔ aw kwik di gem de go (spin pan awa) fɔ kɔnt di lɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛkt. Fɔ lan di bɔtde prɔblɛmmatematiksBɔtde prɔblɛmƆmɔs pipul yu nid bifo tu pan dɛn go pɔsibul gɛt di sem bɔtde, ɔ ɔmɔs spin bifo wan nɔmba go pɔsibul kam bak. Pan wil wit 37 pɔkit, 8 spin dɔn du fɔ gɛt chans we pas af.Rid ɔl →, aw lɔng strik de bi ɛn aw ɔt nɔmba de distribyut pan rial data. Fɔ bil di sɛns we de sev mɔni: patɛn insay 500 spin nɔto patɛn. Ɛn, na tiori, fɔ bi di fɔs pej fɔ bayas notbuk we di nyu fiks wok go mek nɔ yusful bifo i ful.

Di prɔbabiliti fɔ strik na rulɛtPrɔblɛm: di bɔtde wil

Kwɛstyɔn dɛn

A kin gɛt di istri fɔ wil we de na kasino flɔ?

Wan wan tɛm nɔmɔ. Kasino flɔ dɛn de sho 20 nɔmba ɛn kip di ɔda wan dɛn insay.

Wetin mek kɔmpin dɛn de pablish istri sɛf?

Fɔ ɔnɛsti, ɛn bikɔs pleya dɛn de aks. I nɔ de kɔst dɛn natin pan wil we dɛn de fiks.

Wish tɛst fɔs?

Chi-skwɛ fɔ di ɔl pat. If natin nɔ de we yu fɔ notis, stɔp.

Smɔl jok fɔ ɛz di maynd

Di data na tru. Di wil we i de tɔk bɔt kin nɔ de igen.

Di data na tru. Di wil we i de tɔk bɔt kin nɔ de igen.

Usay wi gɛt am frɔm

  1. Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…” Philosophical Magazine 50(302), 1900.
  2. Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel. Lyle Stuart, 1992.
wi chɛk am 2026-09-28mɔdɛl: Yuropian, wan ziromɛtɔdɔlɔji ↗usay wi gɛt am frɔm ↗