Rulɛt wil bayas
Rulɛt wil we gɛt bayas de pik sɔm pɔkit mɔ pas di ɔda dɛn bikɔs fɔ wan prɔblɛm na di bɔdi: pɔkit wɔl we lus, rotɔ we nɔ ivin, pɔkit we dɔn wɛr. Rulɛt wil bayas de, ɛn pipul dɔn yuz am. Di prɔblɛm na se wil we fɛr ful de mek “ɔt nɔmba” ɔltɛm. So di kwɛstyɔn nɔto ɛva if wan nɔmba ɔt, bɔt if di ɔl patɛn nɔ ivin pas wetin chans kin gi.
1. Tek sampul frɔm fɛr wil
Spin we wi drɔ frɔm wil we wi simulet, we nɔ gɛt bayas atɔl. Chenj ɔmɔs tɛm yu tɛst ɛn wach di pɔkit we ɔt pas ɔl.
2. Wetin wi si ɛn wetin fɔ ɛkspɛkt
Ɛni ba na wan pɔkit na di ɔda pan di wil. Di lain wit dash na di nɔmba we fɔ ɛkspɛkt, n/37. Di bɛlt we gɛt shed na ±2 standad diviyeshɔn: pan fɛr wil, lɛk wan pɔkit pan twɛnti go pas am bay chans nɔmɔ.
3. Chi-skwɛ tɛst
Di tɛst de ad ɔmɔs ɛni pɔkit fa frɔm wetin fɔ ɛkspɛkt, we dɛn skwɛ am ɛn skel am. Pan fɛr wil, di tɔtal de fala chi-skwɛ distribyushɔn wit 36 digri fɔ fridɔm; p-valyu ɔnda 0.05 na wetin dɛn kin kɔl signifikant.
n = 370 · E = 10.00 · χ² = 32.80 · p = 0.622
4. Ɔmɔs spin yu go nid
Di spin dɛn we yu nid fɔ si se wan pɔkit de nak mɔ pas 1/37, pan wan-sayd 5% lɛvul wit 80% pawa. Pɔkit we de nak 1 tɛm insay 35 instɛd fɔ 1 insay 37 go bi big advantej fɔ pleya, ɛn i de tek tɛn tɛn tawzin spin we yu rayt fɔ kɔnfam am.
Mɛtɔdɔlɔji
Smɔl jok fɔ ɛz di maynd
Fɛr wil de mek ɔt nɔmba ɛni nɛt. Fɔ pruf bayas, yu nid tɛn tɛn tawzin spin.
Usay wi gɛt am frɔm
- Pearson, K. (1900). On the criterion that a given system of deviations… Philosophical Magazine, 50(302).
- Thorp, E. O. (1969). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. Review of the International Statistical Institute, 37(3).
- Ethier, S. N. (2010). The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer. Chapta 13, Rulɛt.