Stɛp bay stɛp: Oscar’s Grind

Di plan

Bɛt wan yunitmɔniYunitDi bes bɛt mɔni we sistɛm ɔ pleya de wok wit. Dɛn de ɛksplen prɔgrɛshɔn wit yunit so dat i go wok na ɛni tebul.Rid ɔl →. Afta lɔs, bɛt di sem bak. Afta win, ad wan yunit, pas if di ad go tek di sayk pas +1 yunit; if na so, bɛt jɔs wetin yu nid fɔ ɛnd rayt na +1. We di sayk de wan yunit bifo, bigin bak wit wan yunit. Di bɛt mɔni de go ɔp jɔs we yu win, so lɔs strik nɔba de mek am swɛl; di grayn kɔmɔt frɔm se yu nid bɔku win fɔ klem kɔmɔt na ol we yu dig wit smɔl bɛt mɔni.

Di prɔbabiliti fɔ strik na rulɛt

Spin 1–30

Fɔ sayk klos. Di wan we lɔng pas ɔl rɔn ilɛvin spin: Lɔs Lɔs Lɔs (−$30 pan $10), Win (−$20, bɛt mɔni go to $20), Lɔs Lɔs (−$60), Win (−$40, bɛt mɔni go to $30), Win (−$10; fɔ ad am to $40 go pas di tagɛt, so bɛt mɔni $20), Lɔs (−$30), Win (−$10), Win: di sayk de na +$10, i klos. Nɛt afta 30 spin na +$40. Bɛt mɔni nɔba pas $30. Na di sistɛm we nɔ de ɛksayt pas ɔl pan di sayt, ɛn dat na prez.

Spin 31–71

Di lɔng sayk. Et lɔs insay di fɔs tɛn spin dig −$50. Win dɛn mek di bɛt mɔni go ɔp to $20, $30, $40, $50; lɔs pan dɛn bɛt mɔni de dig mɔ, te −$230 na spin 52. Frɔm de, wan pat we fayn fɔ wi, ilɛvin win insay sikstin spin wit bɛt mɔni $40–$50, klem kam bak, ɛn di sayk klos na spin 71 wit +$10. Fɔti-wan spin, $230 na risk na di wɔs pɔynt, ɛn wan yunit fɔ prɔfit.

Spin 72–100

Tri ɔda sayk klos, ɛn wan lɛf na spin 100 we i tinap na −$140 wit $30 bɛt mɔni. Las rizɔlt na −$60: et sayk pan +$10 ɛn wan sayk we stil opin pan −$140 (di sayk we stil opin na di we Oscar sɛshɔn kin ɛnd, bikɔs di sayk dɛn lɔng).

Di akawnt

Avrej bɛt mɔni na lɛk $22, ɔl di mɔni we wi bɛt na lɛk $2,200, we pɔsin we bɛt di sem mɔni ɔltɛm bin fɔ bɛt $1,000. Lɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛktmatematiksLɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛktValyu we fɔ ɛkspɛkt tɛm ɔl di mɔni we yu bɛt; di avrej mɔni we yu de lɔs insay wan sɛshɔn ɔ wan tɛm.Rid ɔl → na $59; di rial na −$60. Sɛshɔn we lan rayt pan wetin fɔ ɛkspɛkt, ɛn Oscar’s Grind de du dat bɔku tɛm pas ɔda sistɛm, bikɔs in variansmatematiksVariansWan mɛzhɔ fɔ aw di rizɔlt dɛn sprɛd rawnd di valyu we fɔ ɛkspɛkt. I ay fɔ bɛt pan wan nɔmba, i lɔ fɔ ivin-mɔni bɛt.Rid ɔl → lɔ: di bɛt mɔni de gro jɔs we wi de win, ɛn i nɔba dɔbul.

Wetin di sɛshɔn sho

Oscar’s Grind na sistɛm we sɔmbɔdi we bin dɔn ɔndastand di ɔda wan dɛn mek. Kliff nɔ de, di bɛt mɔni de smɔl, ɛn i de gi lɔng lɔng sikwɛns fɔ smɔl win. Di prays na tɛm: wan sayk kin rɔn fɔti spin, ɛn di wan-yunit prɔfit na di ɛnd, yu dɔn bay am wit mɔni we dɔn dɔnmɔniMɔni we dɔn dɔnAw di gambul mɔni de fɔdɔm frɔm in ay pɔynt to lɔ pɔynt we kam afta, insay wan sɛshɔn. Di maksimɔm drawdown na di big wan pas ɔl.Rid ɔl → we big twɛnti tɛm pas am. Di lɔs we fɔ ɛkspɛkt fɔ ɛni dɔla we yu bɛt na 2.70%, ɛn di grayn de ad dɔla dɛn.

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